Will Anthropic surpass Bitcoin's market cap by the end of 2026?

Market context

Market opened

Jul 22, 2026, 9:47 AM ET

Trading closes

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET

Outcomes

Yes · No

Rules

This market resolves to "Yes" if, at any time from the market's creation through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Anthropic's public valuation exceeds Bitcoin's (BTC) market capitalization. If this does not occur during that period, the market resolves to "No." Bitcoin's market capitalization will be determined using CoinGecko's BTC data. If CoinGecko no longer provides the necessary information, CoinMarketCap will serve as the replacement data source. For Anthropic, any publicly disclosed valuation or private funding round that assigns the company a valuation will be considered. A valuation is valid only if it is explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or supported by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The primary resolution sources are CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications, although an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used for resolution.