Bitcoin, Gold, or S&P 500: Best in 2026

Market context

Market opened

Jul 29, 2026, 10:18 AM ET

Trading closes

Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

used

Outcomes

3 brackets · Yes / No each

Rules

This market will resolve to the listed asset that delivers the highest percentage price gain during calendar year 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500. Bitcoin's percentage change will be determined by comparing the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle "Close" price at 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2026 with the "Close" price at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, using the BTC/USDT chart available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected. The relevant "Close" values will be taken from the corresponding 1-minute candles (the "time tools" feature may be used to access historical candles). Gold's percentage change will be calculated by comparing the official closing price of the Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) on the final trading day of 2025 with its official closing price on the final trading day of 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, using the Historical Quotes page for the Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The S&P 500's percentage change will be calculated by comparing the official closing value of the S&P 500 Index (^SPX) on the final trading day of 2025 with its official closing value on the final trading day of 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, using the published Close values for the S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more of the listed assets finish with exactly the same percentage performance for 2026, the market will resolve in favor of the asset whose name appears first in alphabetical order in the market title (for example, if Bitcoin and Gold are tied, Bitcoin will be the winner). All performance calculations will use closing prices only. Total return calculations will not be considered. If any relevant trading session is shortened, the official closing price for that session will still be used. If a required trading day does not have an available closing price, the most recent valid historical closing price provided by the designated resolution source will be used.